计算物理 ›› 2001, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 57-63.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

海气随机气候模式及其应用

封国林1, 曹永忠1, 曹鸿兴2   

  1. 1. 扬州大学理学院物理系, 江苏 扬州 225009;
    2. 中国气象科学研究院, 北京 100081
  • 收稿日期:1999-08-10 修回日期:1999-11-08 出版日期:2001-01-25 发布日期:2001-01-25
  • 作者简介:封国林(1965-),maie,Jiangsu,associate professor,doctor,noniinear atmospheric dynamics.
  • 基金资助:
    Nationai Key Program for Deveioping Basic Sciences (G199804090l-l) and the Naturai Sciences Foundation (No.99KJB170002) of Education Committee of Jiangsu Province, China

AIR-SEA STOCHASTIC CLIMATIC MODEL A D ITS APPLICATION

FENG Gou-lin1, CAO Yong-zhong1, CAO Hong-xing2   

  1. 1. Department of Physics, Mathematics and Physics College, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China;
    2. Academy of Meteorological Science, Beijing 100081, P R China
  • Received:1999-08-10 Revised:1999-11-08 Online:2001-01-25 Published:2001-01-25
  • Supported by:
    Nationai Key Program for Deveioping Basic Sciences (G199804090l-l) and the Naturai Sciences Foundation (No.99KJB170002) of Education Committee of Jiangsu Province, China

摘要: 基于能量平衡气候模式,考虑了随机力对海气相互作用的影响和不同时空尺度耦合的作用,将描写海温和气温交互作遥随机动力模式化为一个FokkerPlanck方程,然后用矩阵连分法进行求解,并对CO2增温效应进行了计算,当CO2从330×10-6增加到660×10-6时增温12K,模式中存在的优势周期为(3~4)年,当CO2倍增时各周期有延长的趋势.

关键词: 海气相互作用, 随机气候模式, 福克普朗克方程, 矩阵连分法

Abstract: The effects of stochastic forcing on air-sea interaction, energy baiance ciimate modei is considered.The noniinear source is dynamicai heat transport.The roie to coupiing different temporai and spatiai scaies of the atmosphere is examined.A stochastic dynamicai modei of air-sea interaction is derived via the Fokker-Pianck eguation (FPE).The FPE from statisticai mechanics is used to obtain a time evoiution of the probabiiity density function and the ciimatic potentiai function.The matrix-continued fraction method (MCFM) is appiied to get the soiution with which effect of greenhouse gases was caicuiated.As a resuit, sea surface temperature rises by 1.2 K,meanwhiie the basic period is about 3~4 years and becomes ionger on doubiing CO2.

Key words: air-sea interaction, stochastic ciimate modei, Fokker-Pianck eguation, matrix-continued fraction method

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