计算物理 ›› 2001, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (2): 173-176.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

动态系统可靠性仿真的五种蒙特卡罗方法

肖刚1, 李天柁2, 余梅2   

  1. 1. 西安交通大学, 陕西 西安 710049;
    2. 第二炮兵工程学院, 陕西 西安 710025
  • 收稿日期:1999-08-23 修回日期:1999-10-18 出版日期:2001-03-25 发布日期:2001-03-25
  • 作者简介:肖刚(1969-),男,四川青神,讲师,博士生,从事核安全分析、核辐射信息分析、复杂系统可靠性分析及反应堆热工水力分析方面的研究.

FIVE MONTE CARLO METHODS FOR SIMULATION OF DYNAMIC RELIABILITY SYSTEM

Xiao Gang1, LI Tian-duo2, YU Mei2   

  1. 1. Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, P R China;
    2. The Second Artillery Engineering College, Xi'an 710025, P R China
  • Received:1999-08-23 Revised:1999-10-18 Online:2001-03-25 Published:2001-03-25

摘要: 在动态可靠性系统仿真的统一描述基础上给出直接仿真方法、拟仿真方法、强迫转换方法、直接统计估计方法、加权统计估计方法的具体算法,并用这五种方法计算Con/k/n:F系统的不可靠度,结果表明加权统计估计蒙特卡罗方法的效率最高.

关键词: 效率, 蒙特卡罗方法, 可靠性仿真, 动态系统

Abstract: Based on integrated description of simulation of dynamic reliability system, algorithms of direct simulation, analog simulation, forced transmit, direct statistical extimation, weighted statistical estimation are given.Reliability of a non markov Con/k/n:F system is calculated by these five Monte Carlo methods.Results show that weighted statistical estimation method has highest efficiency.

Key words: efficient, Monte Carlo method, reliability simulation, dynamic system

中图分类号: